Leak 16 · Suppliers & Procurement - Unclaimed vendor returns

Many suppliers allow an annual return of slow stock, often a percentage of purchases. The window passes. The stock stays on the shelf.

Diagnostic note. Symptoms, required records, an initial check, and possible fixes. This shorter note does not include a full worked example.

What is it?

Stock rotation rights, defective returns, and overstock returns are negotiated into supplier agreements and then forgotten. The return has to be requested in a window, packed, shipped, and credited. Each step can stall, and the credit can go unreconciled. Meanwhile the same items sit in the dead-stock report.

Family
Suppliers & Procurement
Primary owner
Purchasing Manager
Secondary owners
Warehouse Manager, Controller
Primary impact
Working capital
Typical data source
Return authorizations, supplier return policies, inventory records
Detection difficulty
30-day measurability

Ask yourself

Do you know which suppliers allow annual stock returns, the allowance, and how much of it you used last year?

Yes, partially, no, or don’t know. “Don’t know” is the most useful answer, because it points at the test below.

What does it look like?

Warning signs. None of these proves the leak exists. They tell you where to look.

  • Supplier agreements with return allowances nobody has used.
  • Return authorizations issued but never shipped, or shipped but never credited.
  • Slow stock from suppliers who would take it back.

What data do I need?

The minimum viable set. Most of it is already in your ERP.

Field
Supplier return terms: allowance, window, restocking fee, conditions
Purchases by supplier for the allowance basis
Slow and dead stock by supplier
Open return authorizations and their status

The initial check

Start with a small sample. Gathering the exports, agreements, or observations is separate from running the check; agree that work with the person who owns the records.

  1. 1List your ten largest suppliers and, for each, whether they allow stock returns and on what terms.
  2. 2Pull slow and dead stock for those suppliers at cost.
  3. 3Compare to the allowance available this year.
Recoverable stock = min(allowance, eligible slow stock at cost) − restocking fees

Then ask one question: Who owns the return calendar, and when is the next window?

How much could it be costing us?

A conservative range, not a headline. The goal is a number management can trust enough to investigate.

Σ over suppliers of unused return allowance applied to eligible stock × (1 − restocking fee), plus uncredited returns already shipped

Common root causes

Fixes fall into three layers. Not every problem needs software, and almost none needs AI first.

Process
No owner and no calendar for supplier returns.
Data
Return terms are not recorded against the supplier in the ERP.
Technology
Return authorizations are tracked in email, so open ones are not visible.

What should we do?

Start with the simplest intervention that could solve it. Move down the list only if the one above is not enough.

  1. Level 1

    Register

    A return-terms register by supplier with windows and allowances, reviewed quarterly against slow stock.

  2. Level 2

    Process

    A return calendar with an owner, and a reconciliation of every RA to a credit.

  3. Level 3

    Workflow

    Generate candidate return lists from slow stock and supplier terms ahead of each window.

Where AI helps

  • Extracting return terms from supplier agreements and correspondence.

Where AI probably doesn’t

A register and a calendar do most of the work.

Before you call it a leak

  • Returns often require original packaging and a condition check. Eligible stock is less than slow stock.

Think this might be happening in your business?

Turn the finding into a next step.

If the numbers say there is something there, send us what you found and we will help you decide whether it is worth a full investigation. No transaction files needed for that conversation.

Let’s start with one thing.

What would better performance look like?

Bring a result you want to improve, a symptom, or a workflow you already understand. You do not need to know the bottleneck yet. We’ll help choose what to investigate first.

No transaction files needed for the first conversation.